<img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjUtMDUvMDE5NjhjMmItNTRiNy03MDhhLTgxOTItYTdhMjYxNTU1ZTY1.jpg"><img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjUtMDUvMDE5NjhjMmItNTRiNy03MDhhLTgxOTItYTdhMjYxNTU1ZTY1.jpg" alt="Bitcoin trader says BTC’s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met">Key takeaways:<ul><li>Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by August or September of this year if BTC breaks above the parabolic slope pattern. </li></ul>Bitcoin <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">(BTC) </a>price jumped to new quarterly highs at $96,700 on May 1, a day after the <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-selling-at-95-k-is-profit-taking-pressure-test-but-btc-whales-are-still-buying" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-selling-at-95-k-is-profit-taking-pressure-test-but-btc-whales-are-still-buying">US GDP contracted</a> -0.3% for the first time since Q2 2022. Amid heightened economic concerns, the <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">probability</a> of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut rose to 62.8% for the June 18 Federal Reserve meeting. Over the past 24 hours, short position liquidations exceeded $137 million, with Alphractal founder Joao Wedson <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1917938885234958731" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1917938885234958731">observing</a> that BTC's price momentum continues to favor bullish trends.<figure><img alt="Bitcoin trader says BTC&rsquo;s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-05/01968c39-ee04-7e1e-9a00-a5af1fe7fef3" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin aggregated liquidation heatmap. Source: X.com</figcaption></figure><h2>Peter Brandt predicts a $150K Bitcoin top by Q3</h2>In a recent post on X, veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasted a Bitcoin price rally, potentially reaching $125,000 to $150,000 by August or September 2025. The trader <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1917927972625121316" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1917927972625121316">predicted</a> a parabolic arc pattern in Bitcoin&rsquo;s price chart&mdash;a technical formation often signaling rapid rises followed by sharp corrections, as seen in the 2017 Bitcoin surge. <figure><img alt="Bitcoin trader says BTC&rsquo;s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-05/01968c46-29f0-7ae2-86df-3bd3cfa310ca" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin 1-week analysis by Peter Brandt. Source: X.com</figcaption></figure>Brandt noted that Bitcoin must reclaim its broken parabolic slope to achieve the above target. However, he cautioned that a 50%+ correction could follow the peak, reflecting the pattern&rsquo;s characteristic volatility. From an onchain perspective, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a &ldquo;start&rdquo; rally zone. The analyst underlined three scenarios, with the optimistic (bull) case outlining a price target above $150,000. Adler Jr. <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/68132a92d8b2fe24bcd055cc-Bitcoin-is-warming-up-3-scenarios-that-could-shape-the-next-rally" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/68132a92d8b2fe24bcd055cc-Bitcoin-is-warming-up-3-scenarios-that-could-shape-the-next-rally">added,</a> <blockquote>&ldquo;If the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds above it, the NUPL/MVRV metrics will show a new impulse, and the price could reach $150-175K, repeating the cycle logic of 2017 and 2021.&rdquo;</blockquote><figure><img alt="Bitcoin trader says BTC&rsquo;s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-05/01968c59-2865-7b0b-8e14-1e1af071cb93" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin Composite Index. Source: CryptoQuant</figcaption></figure>In a baseline scenario, BTC's price may consolidate within a $90,000 to $110,000 range if new capital inflows remain limited and existing investors do not increase their positions.Lastly, a bearish case could unfold if further profit-taking from short-term holders takes place, leading to a correction down to $85,000-$70,000. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has displayed a consistent breakout pattern, surging 13% before entering sideways consolidation, then breaking out again to reach $93,000&ndash;$96,000. BTC is currently breaking out of its existing resistance range. Still, as shown in the chart below, a significant volume cluster between $96,000 and $99,000 suggests a phase of consolidation before Bitcoin can test the $100,000 mark. <figure><img alt="Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-05/01968c7d-4b20-7965-96e8-57fd68cf887b" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView</figcaption></figure><a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-blast-higher-fed-rate-cut-odds-60" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-blast-higher-fed-rate-cut-odds-60">Related: Bitcoin price about to &lsquo;blast&rsquo; higher as Fed rate cut odds jump to 60%</a>This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<template data-name="subscription_form" data-type="markets_outlook" label="Subscription Form: Markets Outlook"></template>

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by August or September of this year if BTC breaks above the parabolic slope pattern. 

Bitcoin (BTC) price jumped to new quarterly highs at $96,700 on May 1, a day after the US GDP contracted -0.3% for the first time since Q2 2022. Amid heightened economic concerns, the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut rose to 62.8% for the June 18 Federal Reserve meeting. 
Over the past 24 hours, short position liquidations exceeded $137 million, with Alphractal founder Joao Wedson observing that BTC's price momentum continues to favor bullish trends.
Bitcoin aggregated liquidation heatmap. Source: X.com
Peter Brandt predicts a $150K Bitcoin top by Q3
In a recent post on X, veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasted a Bitcoin price rally, potentially reaching $125,000 to $150,000 by August or September 2025. The trader predicted a parabolic arc pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart—a technical formation often signaling rapid rises followed by sharp corrections, as seen in the 2017 Bitcoin surge. 
Bitcoin 1-week analysis by Peter Brandt. Source: X.com
Brandt noted that Bitcoin must reclaim its broken parabolic slope to achieve the above target. However, he cautioned that a 50%+ correction could follow the peak, reflecting the pattern’s characteristic volatility. 
From an onchain perspective, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a “start” rally zone. The analyst underlined three scenarios, with the optimistic (bull) case outlining a price target above $150,000. Adler Jr. added, 
“If the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds above it, the NUPL/MVRV metrics will show a new impulse, and the price could reach $150-175K, repeating the cycle logic of 2017 and 2021.”
Bitcoin Composite Index. Source: CryptoQuant
In a baseline scenario, BTC's price may consolidate within a $90,000 to $110,000 range if new capital inflows remain limited and existing investors do not increase their positions.
Lastly, a bearish case could unfold if further profit-taking from short-term holders takes place, leading to a correction down to $85,000-$70,000. 
Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has displayed a consistent breakout pattern, surging 13% before entering sideways consolidation, then breaking out again to reach $93,000–$96,000. 
BTC is currently breaking out of its existing resistance range. Still, as shown in the chart below, a significant volume cluster between $96,000 and $99,000 suggests a phase of consolidation before Bitcoin can test the $100,000 mark. 
Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Related: Bitcoin price about to ‘blast’ higher as Fed rate cut odds jump to 60%
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

A Bitcoin trader predicts that BTC could surge to $125K–$150K by August or September if it breaks above a parabolic slope pattern, following a recent price jump to $96,700 amid economic concerns and rising expectations of a Fed rate cut.  

Bitcoin trader says BTC’s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met

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