Goldman Sachs reports 65% chance that U.S. will intervene in Iran—and says OPEC will be key buffer in oil volatility

Goldman Sachs is flagging a pretty high chance—65%—that the U.S. might step into the Middle East fray, specifically involving Iran. But here’s the twist: they also think there’s a coin-flip shot (50%) that a deal could still happen this year. Meanwhile, OPEC’s role is being eyed as a stabilizer to keep oil markets from going haywire if tensions escalate.