<img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjQtMTIvMDE5M2Q2ZjktYmE2My03ZDkyLThmYjctYmNjYTAxMTNlNjIw.jpg"><img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjQtMTIvMDE5M2Q2ZjktYmE2My03ZDkyLThmYjctYmNjYTAxMTNlNjIw.jpg" alt="Bitcoin ‘power law’ model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025">Key takeaways: <ul><li>Based on power curve trends, Bitcoin may hit $200,000 in Q4 2025.</li><li>Bitcoin follows gold&rsquo;s price trend with a 100-150 day lag.</li></ul>Bitcoin&rsquo;s <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">(BTC) </a>price has rallied 11% this week, its best weekly return in 2025 and its highest seven-day growth since early November 2024. Bitcoin also reached $95,000 on April 25 for the first time since Feb. 24.&nbsp;<figure><img alt="Bitcoin &lsquo;power law&rsquo; model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-04/01966da6-dc0c-78e9-9086-f709d1244057" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView</figcaption></figure>21st Capital co-founder Sina <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1915154713290428719" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">mentioned</a> that Bitcoin reclaimed the power-law price. The power law's predictive accuracy stems from Bitcoin's network growth following Metcalfe's Law, where value scales with the square of users.&nbsp;Based on Sina&rsquo;s <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-significantly-de-risked-here-as-nearly-80-of-cyclical-price-correction-is-done-analyst" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">Bitcoin Quantile Mode</a>l, reclaiming the power-law price keeps BTC on track to hit a price target of $130,000 and $163,000 before the end of 2025.&nbsp;<figure><img alt="Bitcoin &lsquo;power law&rsquo; model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-04/01966da9-d5b3-7749-a508-bb224efdd176" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin Quantile Model by Sina. Source: X.com</figcaption></figure>As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin is currently in the &ldquo;Transition&rdquo; range, where BTC accumulation occurs. Once it breaks into the &ldquo;Acceleration&rdquo; zone, the crypto asset enters the rally's <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/quantile-model-analyst-predicts-135-k-to-285-k-bitcoin-price-in-2025" rel="" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/quantile-model-analyst-predicts-135-k-to-285-k-bitcoin-price-in-2025">33% to 66% range</a>, progressively targeting $106,000, $130,000, and $163,000 over the next few months. However, anonymous Bitcoin analyst apsk32 <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/apsk32/status/1915423456054960549" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/apsk32/status/1915423456054960549">predicted</a> BTC&rsquo;s price target could be as high as $200,000 in 2025. The prediction is based on "Bitcoin power curve time contours," which overlay Bitcoin&rsquo;s price movements across four-year cycles (2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025). The chart suggests a strong performance in Q3 and Q4 of 2025, with the analyst noting that Bitcoin&rsquo;s historical four-year cycle remains intact. The analyst <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/apsk32/status/1915423461863981268" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/apsk32/status/1915423461863981268">said,</a> <blockquote>&ldquo;Looking at two-year segments centered today, 4, 8, and 12 years ago. Price scaling performed using the power curve trendline. Expecting $200,000+ Bitcoin in Q4. Gold suggests we could go significantly higher.&rdquo;</blockquote><figure><img alt="Bitcoin &lsquo;power law&rsquo; model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-04/01966db4-f1b0-72a8-b4bd-eff668b8ad35" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin Power Curve Time Contours chart. Source: X.com</figcaption></figure><a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/5-bitcoin-charts-predicting-100k-btc-price-by-may" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/5-bitcoin-charts-predicting-100k-btc-price-by-may">Related: 5 Bitcoin charts predicting BTC price rally toward $100K by May</a><h2>Gold-Bitcoin lag may repeat Q4 rally</h2>Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin and gold have posted new highs in the market, with each asset outperforming the other during specific periods.&nbsp;As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin and gold achieved new highs between March and August 2024. However, in Q3 2024, gold spearheaded the rally, surpassing Bitcoin's performance. By Q4, Bitcoin regained momentum, outpacing the precious metal and maintaining its lead until March 2025, when gold again took the lead.&nbsp;<figure><img alt="Bitcoin &lsquo;power law&rsquo; model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-04/01966db6-a9a7-7bfc-ae08-4f9bd9dde7cb" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin gold price performance chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView </figcaption></figure>Gold is still leading BTC but has dropped 6% since hitting new highs, while Bitcoin has gained 11%. Cointelegraph <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/when-gold-price-hits-new-highs-history-shows-bitcoin-follows-within-150-days-analyst" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">reported</a> that BTC tends to follow gold&rsquo;s directional bias with a lag of 100-150 days. Based on that narrative, it is possible that Bitcoin could lead gold in the coming weeks. Similarly, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to a new three-year low on April 21, which further fueled the likelihood of a rally for risk assets.&nbsp;Cointelegraph <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-dollar-index-dxy-falls-close-to-level-that-was-followed-by-500-bitcoin-price-rallies" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-dollar-index-dxy-falls-close-to-level-that-was-followed-by-500-bitcoin-price-rallies">reported</a> that multi-year DXY lows have been historically bullish for Bitcoin. Crypto analyst &lsquo;Venture Founder&rsquo; also <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/venturefounder/status/1910486208460784020" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/venturefounder/status/1910486208460784020">pointed out</a>, <blockquote>&ldquo;Traditionally, DXY going down is very bullish for $BTC, we now have a massive bearish divergence for DXY, which may suggest it goes to 90. The last 2 times this happened triggered a Bitcoin parabolic bull run in the final phase of the bull market (lasting 12 months).&rdquo;</blockquote><a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-spikes-to-7-week-highs-analyst-doubts-chances-100k-rebound" rel="" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-spikes-to-7-week-highs-analyst-doubts-chances-100k-rebound">Related: Bitcoin spikes to 7-week highs as analyst doubts chances of $100K rebound</a>This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<template data-name="subscription_form" data-type="markets_outlook" label="Subscription Form: Markets Outlook"></template>

Key takeaways: 

Based on power curve trends, Bitcoin may hit $200,000 in Q4 2025.

Bitcoin follows gold’s price trend with a 100-150 day lag.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has rallied 11% this week, its best weekly return in 2025 and its highest seven-day growth since early November 2024. Bitcoin also reached $95,000 on April 25 for the first time since Feb. 24. 
Bitcoin 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
21st Capital co-founder Sina mentioned that Bitcoin reclaimed the power-law price. The power law's predictive accuracy stems from Bitcoin's network growth following Metcalfe's Law, where value scales with the square of users. 
Based on Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model, reclaiming the power-law price keeps BTC on track to hit a price target of $130,000 and $163,000 before the end of 2025. 
Bitcoin Quantile Model by Sina. Source: X.com
As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin is currently in the “Transition” range, where BTC accumulation occurs. Once it breaks into the “Acceleration” zone, the crypto asset enters the rally's 33% to 66% range, progressively targeting $106,000, $130,000, and $163,000 over the next few months. 
However, anonymous Bitcoin analyst apsk32 predicted BTC’s price target could be as high as $200,000 in 2025. The prediction is based on "Bitcoin power curve time contours," which overlay Bitcoin’s price movements across four-year cycles (2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025). The chart suggests a strong performance in Q3 and Q4 of 2025, with the analyst noting that Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle remains intact. The analyst said, 
“Looking at two-year segments centered today, 4, 8, and 12 years ago. Price scaling performed using the power curve trendline. Expecting $200,000+ Bitcoin in Q4. Gold suggests we could go significantly higher.”
Bitcoin Power Curve Time Contours chart. Source: X.com
Related: 5 Bitcoin charts predicting BTC price rally toward $100K by May
Gold-Bitcoin lag may repeat Q4 rally
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin and gold have posted new highs in the market, with each asset outperforming the other during specific periods. 
As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin and gold achieved new highs between March and August 2024. However, in Q3 2024, gold spearheaded the rally, surpassing Bitcoin's performance. By Q4, Bitcoin regained momentum, outpacing the precious metal and maintaining its lead until March 2025, when gold again took the lead. 
Bitcoin gold price performance chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView 
Gold is still leading BTC but has dropped 6% since hitting new highs, while Bitcoin has gained 11%. Cointelegraph reported that BTC tends to follow gold’s directional bias with a lag of 100-150 days. Based on that narrative, it is possible that Bitcoin could lead gold in the coming weeks.
Similarly, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to a new three-year low on April 21, which further fueled the likelihood of a rally for risk assets. Cointelegraph reported that multi-year DXY lows have been historically bullish for Bitcoin. Crypto analyst ‘Venture Founder’ also pointed out, 
“Traditionally, DXY going down is very bullish for $BTC, we now have a massive bearish divergence for DXY, which may suggest it goes to 90. The last 2 times this happened triggered a Bitcoin parabolic bull run in the final phase of the bull market (lasting 12 months).”
Related: Bitcoin spikes to 7-week highs as analyst doubts chances of $100K rebound
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

A new "power law" model predicts Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by Q4 2025, following historical trends similar to gold with a slight lag. BTC has surged 11% this week, hitting $95,000 on April 25, marking its best weekly performance in 2025. Analysts, including 21st Capital's Sina, note Bitcoin's return to its power-law price trajectory.  

Bitcoin ‘power law’ model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025

Ethereum is holding firm above critical support levels as bulls attempt to reclaim the $1,850 zone. Price action remains cautious, as global trade conflicts and deteriorating macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh on investor sentiment across all markets. The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, combined with weak economic indicators, have created a challenging environment for risk assets like crypto. Related Reading: Ethereum Flips Key Resistance Into Support – Can Bulls Reclaim $2,000 Level? However, despite these headwinds, Ethereum has shown signs of resilience. Some analysts interpret the recent surge in ETH price as a positive shift that could lead to sustained upward momentum if key resistance levels are breached. Top analyst Daan recently shared insights on the ETH/BTC chart, highlighting that Ethereum had a good start last week, showing notable strength relative to Bitcoin. This move immediately pulled a broad range of altcoins higher, signaling growing risk appetite among investors. Daan emphasizes that Ethereum’s ability to retake its local range is an encouraging development, and a continued push could set the stage for a broader recovery across the altcoin sector. Ethereum Builds Momentum Ethereum is beginning to show early signs of a bullish structure forming on the lower time frames, giving hope to investors after weeks of uncertainty. Bulls are steadily working to reclaim higher resistance levels, although selling pressure remains a real threat. The battle for control is intensifying, with analysts split between two scenarios: a massive breakout toward much higher targets or a failed breakout that could send ETH below the critical $1,300 support zone. Daan shared a technical view suggesting that Ethereum had a strong start last week, regaining strength relative to Bitcoin. This move was significant because it immediately triggered strength across many altcoins, a classic signal that sentiment could be shifting across the broader crypto market. Daan explains that Ethereum has retaken its local range, a critical development. The next objective for bulls is to push ETH toward the range high and reclaim the 4-hour 200 MA and EMA. Accomplishing this would mark the beginning of a potential higher timeframe reversal, turning the tide back in favor of buyers. Daan also highlights that if ETH can continue to build momentum from here, it could ignite another strong altcoin rally, amplifying the impact across the entire market. Related Reading: SUI Shows Relative Strength Against Bitcoin – New Uptrend In Play? Price Levels To Watch Ethereum is currently trading at $1,800 after spending several hours ranging tightly between $1,850 and $1,725. Despite the uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, ETH has managed to maintain short-term strength by holding above the 4-hour 200 MA and EMA, two critical technical indicators that have acted as dynamic support throughout the recent price action. The consolidation within this range signals that bulls are defending key levels effectively, but they still need a catalyst to trigger the next significant move. Holding above the 4-hour 200 MA and EMA suggests that momentum remains in favor of buyers for now, and any push above $1,850 could open the door for a larger rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Lacks On-Chain Support – Analyst Warns Of Vanishing Network Activity However, global tensions and weakening economic indicators continue to weigh on sentiment, making next week crucial for clarity. If broader markets stabilize or Bitcoin continues its push toward new highs, Ethereum could benefit and extend its recovery. On the other hand, a failure to hold above $1,725 would expose ETH to renewed selling pressure and a potential retest of lower demand zones. For now, bulls remain in control, but vigilance is key as Ethereum approaches a pivotal moment. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Ethereum shows resilience by holding above key support levels, with bulls aiming for the $1,850 zone, though broader macroeconomic uncertainty and US-China trade tensions dampen risk appetite.  

Ethereum Reclaims Local Range Against BTC – Can Bulls Target The Range High?

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TRON founder and prominent crypto industry figure Justin Sun has taken to the social media platform X to make optimistic claims about the future of JST (JUST), the governance token of the Just ecosystem. In a recent post, Sun declared that JST has undergone a “complete fundamental reversal,” and suggested it could become the “next […]
The post Justin Sun calls JST a ‘next 100x token’ amid growth of TRON’s DeFi ecosystem appeared first on CryptoSlate.

TRON founder Justin Sun promotes JST as a potential "100x token" on social media, citing a "complete fundamental reversal" and growth in TRON's DeFi ecosystem.  

Justin Sun calls JST a ‘next 100x token’ amid growth of TRON’s DeFi ecosystem

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<img width="768" height="432" src="https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-768x432.png" class="attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-post-image" alt="Stablecoin Market Adds $4.58B in One Week, Nears $240B Milestone" decoding="async" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" srcset="https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-300x169.png 300w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-1024x576.png 1024w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-768x432.png 768w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-190x107.png 190w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-380x214.png 380w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths-760x428.png 760w, https://static.news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/teteths.png 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px" />While the broader crypto market enjoyed steady gains last week, the stablecoin sector expanded notably, contributing an additional $4.581 billion to the fiat-linked crypto ecosystem. Fiat-Linked Tokens Expand Amid Market Volatility As of press time on Sunday, the stablecoin economy holds a valuation of $239.108 billion, requiring an additional $892 million to surpass the $240 [&#8230;]

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The stablecoin market grew by $4.58 billion in a week, nearing a $240 billion valuation, as fiat-linked tokens gained traction amid broader crypto market volatility.  

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The Bitcoin price is believed to have always moved in a cyclical pattern — defined by distinct periods of upward, sideways, and downward movements — since its creation. However, this cycle theory appears to be under threat, with the premier cryptocurrency seemingly moving against the trend. CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju, who had proclaimed that [&#8230;]

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Bitcoin ‘power law’ model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025

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