The Asia Trade 9/29/25

Gold prices have soared to a record high of over $3,800 an ounce, driven by a weaker dollar and investor concerns about a potential US government shutdown. This surge in precious metals highlights the growing interest in gold as a safe haven during economic uncertainty. Nadia Martin Wiggen from Svelland Capital discussed these trends on Bloomberg, emphasizing the impact of global market dynamics on gold's value. As oil prices decline amid expectations of increased OPEC+ production, the gold market's resilience is noteworthy and could signal a shift in investment strategies.

In a recent discussion on Odd Lots, trading expert Don Wilson predicts that within the next five years, most assets will be tokenized, reflecting a significant shift in the financial landscape. As the founder and CEO of DRW, Wilson's insights are particularly valuable, especially as he highlights the role of AI and GPUs in this evolution. This trend towards tokenization could democratize access to various assets, making trading more efficient and inclusive, which is a game-changer for investors and the market as a whole.

China's stock market is generating excitement among investors, as analysts discuss key themes that could influence trading strategies. With insights from experts like Kriti Gupta and Tom Mackenzie on Bloomberg, the conversation highlights the potential for growth and opportunities in the Chinese market. This matters because understanding these trends can help investors make informed decisions in a rapidly changing economic landscape.

Horizons Middle East & Africa is set to be a vital resource for anyone interested in one of the world's most dynamic regions. Broadcasting live from Dubai, it offers timely updates on global markets, insightful analysis, and engaging interviews, making it essential for professionals across the Gulf, Hong Kong, London, and Johannesburg. This initiative not only highlights the economic potential of the MEA region but also fosters a deeper understanding of its impact on global trends.

Tensions between Iran and Israel are escalating as the US and European nations push Iran to engage in nuclear negotiations following the reinstatement of UN sanctions. Iran has dismissed these sanctions as illegal, raising concerns about the potential for further conflict in the region. Alan Eyre, a former US diplomat, discussed the economic ramifications of these sanctions in a recent interview, highlighting the broader implications for stability in the Middle East. This situation is critical as it could affect international relations and security in the region.

UBS's latest Global Bubble Real Estate Index highlights a concerning trend in Dubai's real estate market, indicating an elevated risk of a bubble. This marks the most significant risk increase compared to last year, alongside Madrid. Economist Matthias Holzhey, who authored the study, shared insights with Bloomberg, emphasizing the potential implications for investors and the market's stability. Understanding these risks is crucial for anyone involved in real estate, as it could affect investment decisions and market dynamics.

In a recent episode of Bloomberg's Insight with Haslinda Amin, the discussion centered around the evolving perception of China as an investment destination. With high-profile interviews and expert analysis, the show highlighted how China's market dynamics are shifting, making it more appealing for investors. This matters because it signals a potential turnaround in global investment strategies, encouraging more engagement with one of the world's largest economies.

The latest episode of 'The China Show' highlights a significant shift in global investment sentiment towards China, once deemed 'uninvestable.' With insights from experts David Ingles and Yvonne Man, the show explores how China's evolving economic landscape is attracting global funds back into the market. This matters because it signals a potential recovery and renewed confidence in China's economy, which could have far-reaching implications for investors and the global market.

Democracy activist Nathan Law has been denied entry to Singapore, highlighting ongoing tensions surrounding Hong Kong's political climate. This incident is significant as it underscores the challenges faced by pro-democracy figures and raises concerns about freedom of movement for activists. Law, a prominent leader of the Umbrella Movement, is currently facing a bounty for his arrest in Hong Kong, which reflects the government's crackdown on dissent. The situation draws international attention to the state of democracy in the region.

Gareth Nicholson, Nomura's CIO, suggests that a weak labor market might actually boost the stock market as it could lead the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates. This perspective is particularly relevant as investors are also wary of a potential government shutdown, which could delay the release of crucial job data. Understanding these dynamics is essential for investors looking to navigate the current economic landscape.

Genmab is reportedly in advanced discussions to acquire the Dutch drugmaker Merus, a move that could significantly enhance its portfolio in the biopharmaceutical sector. This acquisition is important as it reflects Genmab's strategy to expand its capabilities and offerings in innovative therapies, potentially leading to new treatments for patients and strengthening its position in the competitive market.

Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong has indicated that Singapore's pharmaceutical industry may not face immediate repercussions from new US tariffs on drugs. This is significant as it suggests that Singapore could negotiate tariff ceilings similar to those established with other nations, potentially safeguarding its drugmakers and maintaining a stable market environment.

As we look ahead to the coming week, there are five key factors that investors should keep an eye on in the markets. These include economic indicators, corporate earnings reports, and potential shifts in monetary policy. Understanding these elements is crucial for making informed investment decisions and navigating the ever-changing landscape of the economy.

GSK has made headlines with the unexpected appointment of a new CEO following the departure of Dame Emma Walmsley. This change comes at a time when AstraZeneca is also making waves by announcing its listing on the New York stock market. These developments are significant as they reflect the ongoing shifts in the pharmaceutical industry, which could impact investors and the market landscape.

JMP has reaffirmed its Market Outperform rating for Axon Enterprise, setting a price target of $825 for the stock. This endorsement highlights the firm's confidence in Axon's growth potential and market position, which is significant for investors looking for promising opportunities in the tech sector.

Chancellor Reeves is set to make a significant commitment at the Labour conference, promising to eliminate long-term youth unemployment by guaranteeing paid work for young people who have been unemployed for 18 months. This initiative is crucial as it addresses the pressing issue of youth unemployment, providing hope and opportunities for young individuals to gain valuable work experience and financial independence.

UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves recently addressed the topic of wealth taxation during the Labour Party's annual conference in Liverpool. She emphasized that the UK already has mechanisms in place, such as capital gains and inheritance taxes, to tax wealth, suggesting that a standalone wealth tax is unnecessary. This discussion is significant as it reflects the government's approach to taxation and welfare policies, particularly in the context of economic discipline and support for working families.

Freedom Capital Markets has downgraded its stock rating for Electronic Arts to 'Hold', indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance. This decision reflects concerns about the gaming industry's current trends and EA's ability to adapt. Investors should pay attention to this change as it may influence market perceptions and the stock's performance in the coming months.