America is ‘flirting with recession’ if tech investment slows, according to new modeling—but bubble risk is still smaller than dot-com era

FortuneTuesday, October 7, 2025 at 3:29:31 PM
America is ‘flirting with recession’ if tech investment slows, according to new modeling—but bubble risk is still smaller than dot-com era
Oxford Economics has raised concerns that the U.S. economy might be flirting with a recession if tech investments begin to slow down. This is particularly significant as a decline in enthusiasm for AI could also impact global GDP. The warning highlights the delicate balance the economy is currently in, drawing comparisons to the dot-com bubble era, but suggesting that the current risks are not as severe. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors and policymakers alike, as they navigate potential economic challenges ahead.
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